i'm tired of losing and splits

i've got to get a break some time. i never tracked the percentage of the way bets were going till last year and i think last season in MLB, if you took a team with 75% or more of the public siding with you, you would have only won, like, 51-52%, and taking in to consideration most of time when the public sides that heavy, the team is probably a heavy fave. so you would have actually lost. i don't have my binder with me right now to look it up. the reason i bring this up is because i've had some bad beats the last month, and teams that looked good on paper, faltered. i'm sure its just my conspiracy theorist nature, but i've lost quite a few games recently that the public were with me(or i was with them) 75% or better. i think i'm going to have to go through my records and see. anyway, another split last night, for -20, heres tonights predictions and plays, no short write-ups today , i don't have time.

MLB

NYM(O.Hernandez) vs. Pitt(I.Snell)

play NYM -140*

un 8.5

Phil(K.Loshe) vs. Wash(S.Hill)

Phil -120

un 9.5

Ari(B.Kim) vs. Flor(D.Willis)

Flor -130

ov9

S.F.(S.Atchinson) vs. ATL(J.Smoltz)

Atchinson 3-2 2.01era 51-8 k/bb in 53.7inn at AAA Fresno

ATL -240

ov 8.5

play RL -1.5 -120*

STL(K.Wells) vs. Mil(C.Capuano)

STL +120

un 9.5

Cinn(A.Harang) vs. CHC(C.Zambrano)

Cinn +130

ov 8

Col(J.Francis) vs. S.D.(G.Maddux)

S.D. -120

play ov 7.5*

Hou(M.Albers) vs. LAD(B.Tomko)

LAD -140

un 8.5

T.B.(S.Kazmir) vs .Bos(J.Lester)

play T.B. +120*

play un 10*

Det(J.Bonderman) vs. Cle(C.Sabathia)

Cle -150

ov 9

Bal(D,Cabrera) vs. NYY(J.Karstens)

NYY -180

un 10.5

LAA(J.Saunders) vs. Tor(R.Halladay)

LAA +140

play un 8.5*

K.C.(K.Davies) vs. Tex(K.Millwood)

Tex -140

ov 10

Minn(M.Garza) vs. Sea(H.Ramirez)

Sea -120

un 9

CHW(J.Garland) vs. Oak(L.DiNardo)

play Oak -120*

ov 8.5

7 plays* tonight, good luck to me.

WNBA

Conn vs. Wash

Wash +2

ov 153.5

Hou vs. Det

Det -6

ov 151.5

N.Y. vs. Chi

Chi -2.5

ov 144.5

Minn vs. Sea

Sea -9

ov 165

S.A. vs. L.A.

play S.A. -4.5*

ov 146.5

just 1 play*, i like the lean on the over in Conn/Wash game.